US President Donald Trump is trying to get out of what is being described as the “Hormuz Trap”, a complicated situation that has deepened for weeks, also due to political and military pressures in the Region. According to reports, the US has announced a new round of direct talks with the Iranian delegation in Islamabad, Pakistan. However, the Iranian side has given a firm answer that they will not participate, making the situation even more unclear.
What is striking is that the US seems more eager to reach an agreement. The reason is related to the fact that the initial American strategy has not brought the expected results. The attempt to exert maximum pressure on Iran and change the political balance in Tehran has not worked, while the Iranian regime seems more consolidated and more dependent on its security structures.
A new and important element is the Strait of Hormuz, which has taken on a central role in the crisis. This strategic point, through which a large part of the world’s oil supply passes, has become a tool of pressure in the hands of Iran, increasing the risk to the global economy.
In this context, the US is seeking a quick diplomatic solution to avoid further escalation. Ideas have also been raised for an agreement that would include financial relief for Iran in exchange for limiting its nuclear program. However, these proposals have been denied or publicly opposed by Trump himself. On the other hand, there have also been discussions about a possible long-term compromise on the Iranian nuclear program, but the parties have not reached agreement on the terms, especially regarding the duration of the restrictions.
Iran insists it will not give up its right to its nuclear program and also demands the lifting of military pressure and restrictions in the Region, including the situation in Hormuz.
In this way, the diplomatic process remains blocked between strong positions and a lack of compromise. Meanwhile, at the international level, there is concern that any hasty and partial agreement may not fundamentally resolve the crisis, but only postpone it into the future, leaving open the risk of further escalation in the Region. (Corriere della Sera)